REASONING WITH UNCERTAINTY
PHI3RUN
Not currently offered
Credit points: 15
Subject outline
We cannot always be certain. So we must learn to reason with uncertainty. Whether in everyday life or university study, we often need to evaluate arguments that offer no absolute guarantee for their conclusions. What are the most rational decisions to take in such cases? What are the guiding principles we should follow? In this subject, we will learn a range of methods to rationally deal with uncertainties, such as probabilistic reasoning, game theory, decision theory, analogical reasoning, moral reasoning, and inference to the best explanation. We will also learn to apply these methods of reasoning to gaming, negotiation, public health policy, the problem of mitigating climate change, religious beliefs, and ethics. This subject will complement other formal philosophy subjects such as PHI1CRT (Critical Thinking) and PHI2/3LOG (Logic).
Faculty: Faculty of Humanities & Social Sciences
Credit points: 15
Subject Co-ordinator: Norva Lo
Available to Study Abroad Students: Yes
Subject year level: Year Level 3 - UG
Exchange Students: Yes
Subject particulars
Subject rules
Prerequisites: N/A
Co-requisites: N/A
Incompatible subjects: PHI2RUN
Equivalent subjects: N/A
Special conditions: N/A
Learning resources
Readings
| Resource Type | Title | Resource Requirement | Author and Year | Publisher |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Readings | Lectures on Inductive Logic, | Prescribed | Ellis B and von Thun M 1992, | LA TROBE UNIVERSITY |
| Readings | A Concise Introduction to Logic, | Recommended | Hurley,P 2008, | 10TH EDN, THOMSON, |