Global Utilities

Research Project

Intelligent Decision Support Systems for Emergency/Critical Situations

Research Goal
The problems associated with alarm processing have been bothering the minds of power system researchers since the 1977 New York blackout. The social and economic consequences of a major interruption in the supply of electric power are so great that every effort should be made to reduce the impact of a disturbance (Electrical World 1990; Ewart 1978).

Real-time alarm processing and fault diagnosis requires a response time of 100ms to assist an operator (who suffers from information overload) in a power system control centre to isolate power network (consisting of 110 parameters) faults in an emergency situation. The purpose of this project is to design and implement a parallel and distributed multi-agent system which will process real time alarm data from 16 substations linked with Thomastown Terminal Power Station & isolate faults within 100ms based on 1500 alarm events/minute. The previous work (which achieved response time of 30secs[1]) is based on collaboration with State Electricity Commission (now the Victorian Power eXchange (VPX)).

Funding
$32000

Acknowledgements
State Electricity commission, Victorian Power Exchange, VPAC

Problem Space
In order to understand the problems associated with alarm processing, it is useful to have a perspective of the underlying structure in which the alarm processing systems function in a power system.

A typical power system consists of three levels of control, namely system level control or EMS (Energy Management System) control, grid or regional level control, and distribution level control. Alarm processing systems are used at all these three levels which can give some indication of the complexity involved. The EMS systems are not only responsible for the overview of the power system grid but also the generation of power and interconnection to other power systems. The grid or regional systems are responsible for transmission of power between generation and distribution systems. Finally, the distribution based systems are concerned with maintenance and delivery of power to the customers from a distribution substation.

An alarm is a structured signal from the computerized supervisory control and data acquisition (SCADA) system which is used in a power system control centre at system, regional or distribution level.

Alarm processing thus relies on status information or measurements gathered at a large number of points distributed throughout the system. The advances in computer and telecommunications technology in the last three decades have made it possible for a large SCADA system to scan 20,000 to 50,000 points every few seconds. Such a SCADA system will have the ability of displaying 500/1000 or even more alarm messages per minute (Kirschen et al. 1988; Munneke and Dillon 1989; Kirschen and Wollenberg 1992). These days three or more operators are needed to oversee such a complex system which scans dozens of terminal stations and substations spanning hundreds of miles.

The enormity of the system and rate at which messages are displayed on the monitor increases the complexity of the problem multi-fold. This complexity leaves a operator in the control centre who has to analyse these messages in a highly constrained time frame suffering from high stress and cognitive overload.

Under normal circumstances, the operators carry out routine actions and adjustments to optimize the security and economics of the power system. Uncontrollable events such as sudden load fluctuations, equipment failures and atmospheric perturbations can propel the system from a stable and secure state to an insecure and unstable state. The operator in these circumstances has to take immediate action in order to pull back the system into an acceptable state. Failure to respond quickly, can lead to catastrophic circumstances like the state of the system may continue to deteriorate with some loads getting disconnected or in extreme cases, the entire system may collapse, leading to a blackout for hours.

An approximate estimate of number of alarms which could be triggered under such or similar events in a regional control center is (Durocher 1990):

  • up to 150 alarms in 2 seconds for a transformer fault;
  • up to 2000 alarms for a generation substation fault,
  • the first 300 alarms being generated during the first five seconds;
  • up to 20 alarms per second during a thunderstorm;
  • up to 15000 alarms for each regional centre during the first five
  • seconds of a complete system collapse.

Such an enormous rate of alarm messages makes a quick response from the operator difficult. First, by suggesting a catastrophe (because of large number of messages) , it may increase the level of stress beyond the threshold level at which the performance of the operator drops down sharply.

Having overcome the element of surprise, the operator must sift through a large number of messages to find the cause of the problem. This may even involve scanning through the design manuals or drawings as the operator finds it difficult to process the large number of messages on their own. A significant amount of time can be wasted in this search which might be crucial to prevent a deterioration of the situation. Finally, an operator working under stress and with an over abundance of data may easily be misled as to the true nature of the problem.

Demonstrations
Software Protoype developed and tested.

Team Members
Marshall Munneke, Tharam Dillon, Rajiv Khosla, Qiubang Li.

Publications
[1] R. Khosla and T. Dillon, 'Learning Knowledge and Strategy of a Generic Neuro-
Expert System Architecture in Alarm Processing', in IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, Vol. 12, No. 12, pp. 1610-18, December 1997.

[2] R. Khosla and T. Dillon , Neuro-Expert Systems for Power System Problems(expanded version)', in International Journal of Engineering Intelligent Systems , CRL Publishing, U.K., Vol. 2, No. 1, March 1994, pp. 71-78

[3] R. Khosla, `Knowledge Learning systems Techniques Utilizing Neuro-systems and
Their Applications to Power Alarm Processing Systems` a chapter in a book titled Knowledge Based Systems – Techniques and Applications , Academic Press, USA, 2000, pp. 710-728

[4] R. Khosla and T. Dillon, 'Neuro-Expert System Applications in Power Systems', a
chapter in a book titled AI in Power Systems, published by IEE press, U.K, pp. 238-
258, 1997,

[5] R. Khosla and T. Dillon, 'GENUES Architecture and Application', a chapter in a
book titled Hybrid Intelligent Systems Applications, edited by Jay Leibowitz, Cognizant Communications, New York, USA, 1995, pp. 174-199.

[6] R. Khosla and T. Dillon, 'A Symbolic-Connectionist Model for Time Critical and
Diagnostic Domains', in Thirteenth International Conference on Artificial Intelligence , Avignon, France, pp. 233-242, May 1993

[7] R. Khosla and T. Dillon, 'An Integrated Neuro-Expert System Model for Real-
Time Systems' - in International Joint Conference on Neural Networks, IJCNN’92,
Beijing, China, Vol. 1, pp. 154-159, 1992

[8] R. Khosla and T. Dillon , 'Neuro-Expert Architecture with application in a Power System Control Centre', in Fourth IEEE conference on Tools with Artificial Intelligence , Arlington, Virginia, U.S.A., November, 1992 , pp.471-72.

[9] R. Khosla and T. Dillon , 'A Cognitive Architecture for Problem Solving with Symbolic-Connectionist Constituents', in European Conference on Cognitive Science in Industry , Luxembourg, Sept. 1994, pp.369-82.

[10] R. Khosla and T. Dillon,' Distributed Symbolic-Subsymbolic Agent Architecture for Configuring Power Network Faults', in International Conference on Multi-Agent Systems, ICMAS’95, San Francisco, USA, pp. 451. June, 1995,

[11] R. Khosla and T. Dillon , 'Learning Knowledge and Strategy of a Generic Neuro- Expert System Model', in AAAI (American Association of Artificial Intelligence) International Symposium on Integrating Knowledge and Neural Heuristics , Florida, USA, May, 1994., pp. 114-21.

[12] R. Khosla and T. Dillon , 'A Distributed Real-Time Alarm Processing System with Symbolic-Connectionist Computation', in Proc. of the IEEE Workshop in Real Time Applications, Washington D.C., July, 1994., pp. 104-9.

[13] R. Khosla and T. Dillon , 'Abstraction - a Key to Integration of Artificial Neural Networks and Expert Systems', in Workshop on Integration Technology for Real- Time Intelligent Control Systems(IRTICS'93) - ESPRIT Project , Madrid, Spain, Oct. 1993, pp. 18-1-18-13

[14] R. Khosla and T. Dillon , 'Applying An Integrated Neuro-Expert System Model in a Real-Time Alarm Processing System', in SPIE proceedings on Applications of Artificial Intelligence XI: Knowledge Based Systems in Aerospace and Industry , Orlando, Florida, U.S.A, April 1993, pp. 68-79.

[15] R. Khosla and T. Dillon, 'Combined Symbolic-Artificial Neural Net Alarm Processing System'- (deals with power system aspects of alarm processing), in Eleventh Power Systems Computation Conference (PSCC), Avignon, France, Sept. 1993, pp. 259-266.

[16] R. Khosla and T. Dillon,'Enabling Technology for Diagnostic Applications, in
Eighth International Conference on Industrial and Engineering Applications of AI
and Expert Systems (IEA/AIE-95), June, 1995, Melbourne, pp. 263-72 (Received
best paper award certificate)

[17] R. Khosla. and Q. Li.,"Multi-Layered Multi-Agent Architecture with Fuzzy
Application in Electrical Power Systems, in IEEE World Congress on Computational
Intelligence, pp. 209-14, Hawaii, USA, May 2002.

[18] R. Khosla and T. Dillon, 'A Neuro-Expert System Approach to Power System
Problems', Plenary paper in 4th International Symposium on Expert System Applications to Power Systems, Melbourne, Australia, Jan. 1993, pp. 8-15

 

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